TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023217
Played Aug 27Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118118––––
Iurii Chernyshov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
0–5Last 5Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Iurii Chernyshov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vadim Reva at 58.9%
54 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Reva 1390 vs Chernyshov 912
Reva
Correct
both rated, 478 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 60% vs Chernyshov 0%
Reva
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 70% vs Chernyshov 0%
Reva
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva +1 · Chernyshov -5
Chernyshov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Reva) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chernyshov form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.50 / Chernyshov 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Reva)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023217
Reva1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 62 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Chernyshov2.50
0%won 0 of 5 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 3 of 5
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaChernyshovBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 366 vs 0 / 556%0%205 / 366 vs 0 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.10.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.233.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.50/Chernyshov 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Reva won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113
I. Chernyshov10
LSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113WSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153LSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113LAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover1.73101111113I. Chernyshov2.00126771WAug 27 · 18:05M. Karelov1.44111091182I. Chernyshov2.63612117113LAug 27 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.611711123I. Chernyshov2.20158100LAug 27 · 12:35A. Sydorenko1.3691111143I. Chernyshov3.001197121LAug 19 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.008240V. Leonov1.361111113
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