TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100663
Played Sep 9Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117119114––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 83.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 29–5 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 5 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-5 in 34
Leonov
Correct
gap of 24 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonov 1339 vs Buianover 1234
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonov 60% vs Buianover 40%
Leonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonov 50% vs Buianover 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonov +1 · Buianover -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Leonov) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.17 / Buianover 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Leonov)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100663
Leonov1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 35 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Buianover4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 43 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonov7wins
AwayBuianover3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov85.7%6 of 7
AwayBuianover66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov7Buianover3n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S2Leonov7Buianover3n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S3Leonov5Buianover5n = 10split evenly
S4Leonov3Buianover2n = 5Leonov took 3 of 5
S5Leonov2Buianover1n = 3Leonov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonovBuianoverL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.031.3+5.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 128 vs 148 / 37560.2%39.5%77 / 128 vs 148 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.17/Buianover 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:35V. Leonov—11117113H. Buianover—871141
LAug 30 · 19:55V. Leonov—11861172H. Buianover—311118113
WAug 10 · 13:35V. Leonov—1111113H. Buianover—6770
WAug 5 · 14:35V. Leonov—111191113H. Buianover—45111192
WJul 23 · 15:35V. Leonov—981111113H. Buianover—11118672
WJul 14 · 16:35V. Leonov—1111123H. Buianover—37100
WJun 28 · 19:25V. Leonov—1111113H. Buianover—6980
LJun 14 · 14:55V. Leonov—107100H. Buianover—1211123
LApr 19 · 18:05V. Leonov—4119101H. Buianover—11811123
WMar 8 · 13:35V. Leonov—1111113H. Buianover—4480
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113LAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172WAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva3.4061111882V. Leonov1.30119811113LAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100
H. Buianover10
LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172
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