TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100713
Played Sep 9Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311711311811––
Valerii Lukianevych
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Valerii Lukianevych below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 65.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 37–77 Valerii Lukianevych Hennadii Buianover has won 37 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lukianevych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-77 in 114
Lukianevych
Correct
gap of 40 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1244 vs Lukianevych 1326
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 40% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 50% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover +1 · Lukianevych +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lukianevych) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukianevych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 2.38 / Lukianevych 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Lukianevych)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100713
Buianover2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 43 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Lukianevych1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 75 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover2wins
AwayLukianevych8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianovern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLukianevych87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover2Lukianevych8n = 10Lukianevych took 8 of 10
S2Buianover3Lukianevych7n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S3Buianover4Lukianevych6n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S4Buianover2Lukianevych4n = 6Lukianevych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverLukianevychB − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.837.9−6.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverLukianevychBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 374 vs 199 / 39739.6%50.1%148 / 374 vs 199 / 397Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychBuianover 2.38/Lukianevych 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover—10780V. Lukianevych—1211113
LSep 1 · 14:05H. Buianover—8980V. Lukianevych—1111113
WAug 30 · 17:55H. Buianover—11118113V. Lukianevych—761181
LAug 27 · 15:05H. Buianover—6860V. Lukianevych—1111113
WAug 12 · 16:05H. Buianover—61111113V. Lukianevych—119691
LAug 10 · 15:35H. Buianover—116691V. Lukianevych—81111113
LAug 5 · 15:35H. Buianover—108100V. Lukianevych—1211123
LJul 28 · 12:35H. Buianover—1051381V. Lukianevych—121111113
LJul 27 · 18:05H. Buianover—61111762V. Lukianevych—115911113
LJul 23 · 14:35H. Buianover—761351V. Lukianevych—111111113
H. Buianover10
LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980
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