TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044986
Played Aug 30Finished
Volodymyr Vasiukov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161210––––
Viktor Leonov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:05 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Vasiukov to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Vasiukov above · Viktor Leonov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Vasiukov at 57.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Vasiukov 2–4 Viktor Leonov Volodymyr Vasiukov has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vasiukov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Leonov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasiukov 1394 vs Leonov 1351
Vasiukov
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasiukov 80% vs Leonov 40%
Vasiukov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasiukov 60% vs Leonov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasiukov +2 · Leonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vasiukov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasiukov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasiukov 1.61 / Leonov 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vasiukov)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044986
Vasiukov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Leonov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 9 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVasiukov2wins
AwayLeonov4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLeonov leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasiukovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLeonov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasiukov2Leonov4n = 6Leonov took 4 of 6
S2Vasiukov3Leonov3n = 6split evenly
S3Vasiukov2Leonov4n = 6Leonov took 4 of 6
S4Vasiukov1Leonov3n = 4Leonov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricVasiukovLeonovV − LBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.740.5−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasiukovLeonovBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 57 vs 72 / 11849.1%61%28 / 57 vs 72 / 118Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasiukovVasiukov 1.61/Leonov 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Vasiukov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasiukov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 14 · 19:25V. Vasiukov—1156121V. Leonov—81111143
WApr 26 · 19:25V. Vasiukov—1014133113V. Leonov—1212111152
LApr 19 · 13:05V. Vasiukov—111181162V. Leonov—571113113
LApr 5 · 16:35V. Vasiukov—8670V. Leonov—1111113
LMar 29 · 16:35V. Vasiukov—9960V. Leonov—1111113
WFeb 22 · 18:25V. Vasiukov—101111113V. Leonov—129951
V. Vasiukov10
WAug 30 · 19:25V. Lukianevych4.331011111162V. Vasiukov1.20127139113WAug 30 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.3651111113M. Karelov3.00117351WAug 30 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.13111173H. Buianover5.507650WAug 30 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.611111113V. Reva2.204670LJun 14 · 19:25V. Leonov2.2081111143V. Vasiukov1.611156121WJun 14 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.33811911113A. Sydorenko3.2511611932WJun 14 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.251111113V. Lukianevych3.757570LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143LJun 14 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.06111171072H. Buianover8.00561112113WMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych3.407590V. Vasiukov1.301111113
V. Leonov10
LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113LAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172WAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva3.4061111882V. Leonov1.30119811113WAug 30 · 15:25M. Karelov2.381110861V. Leonov1.5371211113WJun 14 · 19:25V. Leonov2.2081111143V. Vasiukov1.611156121
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