TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044807
Played Aug 30Finished
Volodymyr Vasiukov
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117113115––
Maksym Karelov
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Vasiukov to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Vasiukov above · Maksym Karelov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 64 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Volodymyr Vasiukov at 64.5%
64 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vasiukov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vasiukov 1406 vs Karelov 1150
Vasiukov
Correct
both rated, 257 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasiukov 80% vs Karelov 20%
Vasiukov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasiukov 70% vs Karelov 30%
Vasiukov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasiukov +3 · Karelov +1
Vasiukov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vasiukov) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karelov form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasiukov 1.36 / Karelov 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vasiukov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13044807
Vasiukov1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Karelov3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasiukovKarelovBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 58 vs 32 / 8650%37.2%29 / 58 vs 32 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
VasiukovVasiukov 1.36/Karelov 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Vasiukov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasiukov won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Vasiukov10
WAug 30 · 19:25V. Lukianevych4.331011111162V. Vasiukov1.20127139113WAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100WAug 30 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.13111173H. Buianover5.507650WAug 30 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.611111113V. Reva2.204670LJun 14 · 19:25V. Leonov2.2081111143V. Vasiukov1.611156121WJun 14 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.33811911113A. Sydorenko3.2511611932WJun 14 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.251111113V. Lukianevych3.757570LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143LJun 14 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.06111171072H. Buianover8.00561112113WMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych3.407590V. Vasiukov1.301111113
M. Karelov10
LSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832WSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113LSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113LSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560LSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113
Upcoming Matches
V. Vasiukov
Nothing scheduled
M. Karelov
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