TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044869
Played Aug 30Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121171113119611
Volodymyr Vasiukov
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Vasiukov to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Volodymyr Vasiukov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Vasiukov at 79.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 2–6 Volodymyr Vasiukov Valerii Lukianevych has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Vasiukov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Vasiukov
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1272 vs Vasiukov 1426
Vasiukov
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 20% vs Vasiukov 80%
Vasiukov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 50% vs Vasiukov 70%
Vasiukov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -3 · Vasiukov +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Vasiukov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 4.33 / Vasiukov 1.20
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Vasiukov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044869
Lukianevych4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 36 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Vasiukov1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLukianevych2wins
AwayVasiukov6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderVasiukov leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVasiukov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych2Vasiukov6n = 8Vasiukov took 6 of 8
S2Lukianevych3Vasiukov5n = 8Vasiukov took 5 of 8
S3Lukianevych2Vasiukov6n = 8Vasiukov took 6 of 8
S4Lukianevych2Vasiukov1n = 3Lukianevych took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricLukianevychVasiukovL − VBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match30.235.4−5.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychVasiukovBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 391 vs 31 / 6049.9%51.7%195 / 391 vs 31 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasiukovLukianevych 4.33/Vasiukov 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.9%
Vasiukov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasiukov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 30 · 19:25V. Lukianevych—1011111162V. Vasiukov—127139113
LJun 14 · 17:25V. Lukianevych—7570V. Vasiukov—1111113
LMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych—7590V. Vasiukov—1111113
WMay 3 · 15:05V. Lukianevych—91112113V. Vasiukov—1181081
LApr 26 · 17:25V. Lukianevych—116631V. Vasiukov—61111113
WApr 5 · 13:05V. Lukianevych—1111113V. Vasiukov—3790
LMar 29 · 17:35V. Lukianevych—119100V. Vasiukov—1311123
LJun 28 · 19:25V. Lukianevych—65100V. Vasiukov—1111123
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980
V. Vasiukov10
WAug 30 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.3651111113M. Karelov3.00117351WAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100WAug 30 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.13111173H. Buianover5.507650WAug 30 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.611111113V. Reva2.204670LJun 14 · 19:25V. Leonov2.2081111143V. Vasiukov1.611156121WJun 14 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.33811911113A. Sydorenko3.2511611932WJun 14 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.251111113V. Lukianevych3.757570LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143LJun 14 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.06111171072H. Buianover8.00561112113WMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych3.407590V. Vasiukov1.301111113
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