TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12036243
Played Jun 14Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111151161412––
Volodymyr Vasiukov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Volodymyr Vasiukov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 78 set 4, 14-12
78 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 3–2 Volodymyr Vasiukov Volodymyr Vasiukov has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vasiukov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasiukov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 2.20 / Vasiukov 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vasiukov)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12036243
Leonov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 6 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Vasiukov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 18 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLeonov3wins
AwayVasiukov2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderLeonov leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov50%2 of 4
AwayVasiukovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov4Vasiukov1n = 5Leonov took 4 of 5
S2Leonov2Vasiukov3n = 5Vasiukov took 3 of 5
S3Leonov3Vasiukov2n = 5Leonov took 3 of 5
S4Leonov2Vasiukov1n = 3Leonov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLeonovVasiukovL − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.837.2+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovVasiukovBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 186 vs 42 / 7968.8%53.2%128 / 186 vs 42 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasiukovLeonov 2.20/Vasiukov 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Vasiukov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 26 · 19:25V. Leonov—1212111152V. Vasiukov—1014133113
WApr 19 · 13:05V. Leonov—571113113V. Vasiukov—111181162
WApr 5 · 16:35V. Leonov—1111113V. Vasiukov—8670
WMar 29 · 16:35V. Leonov—1111113V. Vasiukov—9960
LFeb 22 · 18:25V. Leonov—129951V. Vasiukov—101111113
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113LAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172WAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva3.4061111882V. Leonov1.30119811113LAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100
V. Vasiukov10
WAug 30 · 19:25V. Lukianevych4.331011111162V. Vasiukov1.20127139113WAug 30 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.3651111113M. Karelov3.00117351WAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100WAug 30 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.13111173H. Buianover5.507650WAug 30 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.611111113V. Reva2.204670WJun 14 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.33811911113A. Sydorenko3.2511611932WJun 14 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.251111113V. Lukianevych3.757570LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143LJun 14 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.06111171072H. Buianover8.00561112113WMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych3.407590V. Vasiukov1.301111113
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