TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044795
Played Aug 30Finished
Volodymyr Vasiukov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116117––––
Vadim Reva
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Vasiukov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Vasiukov above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Vasiukov at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Vasiukov 0–2 Vadim Reva Volodymyr Vasiukov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vasiukov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vasiukov 1358 vs Reva 1394
Reva
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasiukov 40% vs Reva 80%
Reva
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasiukov 60% vs Reva 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasiukov -1 · Reva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vasiukov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasiukov 1.61 / Reva 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vasiukov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13044795
Vasiukov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Reva2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 44 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back35% 17 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVasiukov0wins
AwayReva2wins
Reva leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricVasiukovRevaV − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.535.0−9.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasiukovRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 55 vs 206 / 36547.3%56.4%26 / 55 vs 206 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasiukovVasiukov 1.61/Reva 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Vasiukov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasiukov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov—76120V. Reva—1111143
LMay 10 · 09:55V. Vasiukov—10880V. Reva—1211113
V. Vasiukov10
WAug 30 · 19:25V. Lukianevych4.331011111162V. Vasiukov1.20127139113WAug 30 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.3651111113M. Karelov3.00117351WAug 30 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.611111123V. Leonov2.2076100WAug 30 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.13111173H. Buianover5.507650LJun 14 · 19:25V. Leonov2.2081111143V. Vasiukov1.611156121WJun 14 · 18:25V. Vasiukov1.33811911113A. Sydorenko3.2511611932WJun 14 · 17:25V. Vasiukov1.251111113V. Lukianevych3.757570LJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143LJun 14 · 13:55V. Vasiukov1.06111171072H. Buianover8.00561112113WMay 10 · 11:55V. Lukianevych3.407590V. Vasiukov1.301111113
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WJun 14 · 15:55V. Vasiukov1.5376120V. Reva2.381111143
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