TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100720
Played Sep 9Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210611611116111
Vadim Reva
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 85 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 74.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 26–7 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-7 in 33
Leonov
Correct
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonov 1347 vs Reva 1248
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonov 80% vs Reva 20%
Leonov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonov 60% vs Reva 20%
Leonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonov +2 · Reva -4
Reva
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Leonov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.28 / Reva 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Leonov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100720
Leonov1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 35 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Reva3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 45 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back36% 17 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonov7wins
AwayReva3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov83.3%5 of 6
AwayReva50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov6Reva4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S2Leonov7Reva3n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S3Leonov7Reva3n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S4Leonov4Reva1n = 5Leonov took 4 of 5
S5Leonov1Reva2n = 3Reva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonovRevaL − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.530.9+6.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 129 vs 209 / 37860.5%55.3%78 / 129 vs 209 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.28/Reva 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov—1111133V. Reva—37110
WAug 30 · 18:55V. Leonov—119811113V. Reva—61111882
WAug 19 · 14:35V. Leonov—51112113V. Reva—1171081
WAug 10 · 16:05V. Leonov—1111113V. Reva—7840
WAug 5 · 19:05V. Leonov—1111113V. Reva—5530
LJul 28 · 16:05V. Leonov—11511982V. Reva—811811113
WJul 14 · 15:05V. Leonov—71111123V. Reva—1195101
WJul 7 · 15:05V. Leonov—1111113V. Reva—6620
LJun 28 · 17:55V. Leonov—6970V. Reva—1111113
LJun 14 · 17:55V. Leonov—71181182V. Reva—115117113
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113LAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172WAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva3.4061111882V. Leonov1.30119811113
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva3.4061111882V. Leonov1.30119811113
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