TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100687
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116411119––
Valerii Lukianevych
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Valerii Lukianevych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 68.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 63–26 Valerii Lukianevych Valerii Lukianevych has won 26 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-26 in 89
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 37 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1404 vs Lukianevych 1335
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 70% vs Lukianevych 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Lukianevych +3
Lukianevych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sydorenko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukianevych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.50 / Lukianevych 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sydorenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100687
Sydorenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it82% 65 of 79
Lukianevych2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko8wins
AwayLukianevych2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayLukianevych0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko7Lukianevych3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko3Lukianevych7n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Lukianevych4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko6Lukianevych4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S5Sydorenko5Lukianevych1n = 6Sydorenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoLukianevychS − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.938.8+7.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoLukianevychBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 316 vs 200 / 39865.2%50.3%206 / 316 vs 200 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.50/Lukianevych 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko—1191110113V. Lukianevych—31171272
WSep 1 · 12:35A. Sydorenko—119116113V. Lukianevych—81171142
WAug 27 · 18:35A. Sydorenko—1081111113V. Lukianevych—12116582
WAug 19 · 18:35A. Sydorenko—11119113V. Lukianevych—761191
WAug 12 · 15:05A. Sydorenko—6101111113V. Lukianevych—11128342
LAug 5 · 18:35A. Sydorenko—1112111132V. Lukianevych—214136113
WJul 28 · 16:35A. Sydorenko—11911123V. Lukianevych—6115101
WJul 27 · 14:05A. Sydorenko—611118113V. Lukianevych—11591162
LJul 23 · 16:35A. Sydorenko—119881V. Lukianevych—71111113
WJul 16 · 13:05A. Sydorenko—111110113V. Lukianevych—971261
A. Sydorenko10
WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133
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