TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100831
Played Sep 9Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115116––––
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Andrii Sydorenko 1979 below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 58.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 19–9 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-9 in 28
Leonov
Correct
gap of 10 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonov 1355 vs Sydorenko 1420
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonov 80% vs Sydorenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonov 60% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonov +3 · Sydorenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Leonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.53 / Sydorenko 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Leonov)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13100831
Leonov1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 35 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Sydorenko2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 10 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonov6wins
AwaySydorenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov60%3 of 5
AwaySydorenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Leonov6Sydorenko4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S3Leonov4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Leonov6Sydorenko4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S5Leonov3Sydorenko2n = 5Leonov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonovSydorenkoL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.537.9+5.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 130 vs 208 / 31860.8%65.4%79 / 130 vs 208 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.53/Sydorenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov—5111041A. Sydorenko—11512113
LAug 19 · 16:35V. Leonov—11951172A. Sydorenko—911116113
WAug 5 · 16:35V. Leonov—101111113A. Sydorenko—127871
WJul 23 · 18:35V. Leonov—1191111113A. Sydorenko—81113372
WJul 14 · 18:35V. Leonov—11118113A. Sydorenko—151151
WJul 7 · 17:35V. Leonov—91111113A. Sydorenko—113661
LJun 14 · 16:25V. Leonov—1112691A. Sydorenko—131011113
WApr 26 · 17:55V. Leonov—11121111113A. Sydorenko—71421382
LApr 5 · 12:35V. Leonov—11711992A. Sydorenko—611511113
WMar 29 · 19:05V. Leonov—311611113A. Sydorenko—11611522
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113LAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover5.00311118113V. Leonov1.1411861172
A. Sydorenko10
WSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192WSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113
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