TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126865
Played Sep 14Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171311––––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 77.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 16–3 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1406 vs Sydorenko 1290
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 40% vs Sydorenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 50% vs Sydorenko 30%
Sharpai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai +2 · Sydorenko -3
Sydorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.28 / Sydorenko 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Sharpai)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126865
Sharpai1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 53 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57
Sydorenko3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 84 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSharpai7wins
AwaySydorenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSharpai leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai75%6 of 8
AwaySydorenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai8Sydorenko2n = 10Sharpai took 8 of 10
S2Sharpai7Sydorenko3n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S3Sharpai5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Sharpai3Sydorenko5n = 8Sydorenko took 5 of 8
S5Sharpai2Sydorenko1n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSharpaiSydorenkoSharpai − SydorenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.8+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 544 vs 259 / 58246.7%44.5%254 / 544 vs 259 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.28/Sydorenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sharpai371111153V. Sydorenko2997130
WJul 29 · 12:35V. Sharpai4311129113V. Sydorenko303101161
LJul 21 · 19:05V. Sharpai36811891V. Sydorenko3811511113
WJul 14 · 19:55V. Sharpai43111011113V. Sydorenko30312781
WJul 8 · 15:05V. Sharpai331111113V. Sydorenko172780
LJul 7 · 19:25V. Sharpai4811169392V. Sydorenko558141111113
LMar 15 · 14:05V. Sharpai36119971V. Sydorenko3631111113
WMar 11 · 14:05V. Sharpai4171211113V. Sydorenko331110751
WMar 10 · 19:35V. Sharpai51119119113V. Sydorenko4471161192
WMar 3 · 14:25V. Sharpai47111277103V. Sydorenko46810111162
V. Sharpai10
WSep 14 · 17:05O. Korobov1.44127881V. Sharpai2.63101111113WSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.001112113V. Kaganovych1.7371060LSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov2.106111013113V. Sharpai1.67119121192LSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113LSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892WSep 10 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.6731115113D. Boltenkov2.101121361LSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:35I. Elfemov1.5011511113V. Sydorenko2.50711691LSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133WSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113
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