TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126308
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711811811––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 68.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 4–1 Viktor Sharpai Viktor Sharpai has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Korobov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1553 vs Sharpai 1389
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 40% vs Sharpai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 70% vs Sharpai 40%
Korobov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -1 · Sharpai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobov form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.44 / Sharpai 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Korobov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126308
Korobov1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite71% won 52 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Sharpai2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 4 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKorobov4wins
AwaySharpai1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKorobov leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySharpai33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov2Sharpai3n = 5Sharpai took 3 of 5
S2Korobov3Sharpai2n = 5Korobov took 3 of 5
S3Korobov4Sharpai1n = 5Korobov took 4 of 5
S4Korobov5Sharpai0n = 5Korobov took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home480%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKorobovSharpaiK − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.633.4+8.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 144 vs 253 / 54361.8%46.6%89 / 144 vs 253 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.44/Sharpai 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov3811511113V. Sharpai29611661
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov4151411113V. Sharpai371112861
WJul 21 · 12:35O. Korobov4291111113V. Sharpai22114431
LJul 13 · 18:25O. Korobov486101111102V. Sharpai49111277123
WJul 7 · 15:55O. Korobov3911116113V. Sharpai30861151
O. Korobov10
LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951
V. Sharpai10
WSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.001112113V. Kaganovych1.7371060LSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov2.106111013113V. Sharpai1.67119121192LSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113LSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892WSep 10 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.6731115113D. Boltenkov2.101121361LSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
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