TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088734
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 69.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 10–9 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1581 vs Hainiuk 1341
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 100% vs Hainiuk 20%
Korobov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 90% vs Hainiuk 30%
Korobov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +5 · Hainiuk -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Korobov) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.36 / Hainiuk 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Korobov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088734
Korobov1.36
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Hainiuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov100%6 of 6
AwayHainiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov6Hainiuk4n = 10Korobov took 6 of 10
S2Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov7Hainiuk3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S4Korobov2Hainiuk4n = 6Hainiuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovHainiukK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.332.7+3.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 138 vs 365 / 67862.3%53.8%86 / 138 vs 365 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.36/Hainiuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov—1111123V. Hainiuk—82100
WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov—1213113V. Hainiuk—101180
LAug 10 · 13:55O. Korobov—8711101V. Hainiuk—11118123
WAug 3 · 15:35O. Korobov—1213113V. Hainiuk—101150
WJul 27 · 16:25O. Korobov—71111113V. Hainiuk—116981
WJul 21 · 15:35O. Korobov—11119113V. Hainiuk—971141
WJul 13 · 13:55O. Korobov—1112113V. Hainiuk—71080
LJun 2 · 17:35O. Korobov—841131V. Hainiuk—11112113
WMay 26 · 15:35O. Korobov—111269113V. Hainiuk—410111192
LApr 14 · 16:05O. Korobov—511591V. Hainiuk—11711113
O. Korobov10
WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100LAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.