TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088705
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
31110121012––––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 58.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 10–13 Viktor Sharpai Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1354 vs Sharpai 1375
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 20% vs Sharpai 60%
Sharpai
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 30% vs Sharpai 50%
Sharpai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -3 · Sharpai -1
Hainiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 2.20 / Sharpai 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sharpai)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088705
Hainiuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Sharpai1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 49 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 38 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk5wins
AwaySharpai5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk33.3%1 of 3
AwaySharpai42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S2Hainiuk6Sharpai4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S3Hainiuk3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S4Hainiuk5Sharpai3n = 8Hainiuk took 5 of 8
S5Hainiuk3Sharpai2n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSharpaiH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.3−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 677 vs 257 / 55053.9%46.7%365 / 677 vs 257 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiHainiuk 2.20/Sharpai 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—11911113V. Sharpai—311881
WAug 24 · 17:35V. Hainiuk—61211113V. Sharpai—1110881
LJul 31 · 18:25V. Hainiuk—111397102V. Sharpai—6111111123
LJul 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—8450V. Sharpai—1111113
LJul 20 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—6260V. Sharpai—1111113
WJul 13 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—513711113V. Sharpai—111111962
WApr 17 · 03:05V. Hainiuk—3111611113V. Sharpai—11718732
WMar 18 · 16:35V. Hainiuk—511311113V. Sharpai—11811882
LMar 17 · 16:25V. Hainiuk—114561V. Sharpai—71111113
LMar 15 · 18:35V. Hainiuk—41111372V. Sharpai—117911113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101
V. Sharpai10
LSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113
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