TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088627
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116511116116––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 67 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 63.6%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 3–1 Viktor Sharpai Viktor Sharpai has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Korobov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1565 vs Sharpai 1381
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 80% vs Sharpai 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 70% vs Sharpai 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +4 · Sharpai +2
Korobov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.53 / Sharpai 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Korobov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088627
Korobov1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Sharpai2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog24% won 5 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKorobov3wins
AwaySharpai1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKorobov leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySharpai33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov1Sharpai3n = 4Sharpai took 3 of 4
S2Korobov3Sharpai1n = 4Korobov took 3 of 4
S3Korobov3Sharpai1n = 4Korobov took 3 of 4
S4Korobov4Sharpai0n = 4Korobov took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKorobovSharpaiK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.534.5+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 136 vs 259 / 55461.8%46.8%84 / 136 vs 259 / 554Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.53/Sharpai 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov—51411113V. Sharpai—1112861
WJul 21 · 12:35O. Korobov—91111113V. Sharpai—114431
LJul 13 · 18:25O. Korobov—6101111102V. Sharpai—111277123
WJul 7 · 15:55O. Korobov—11116113V. Sharpai—861151
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 17 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5011412952M. Skliar2.507111011113
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
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