TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089308
Played Sep 7Finished
Valentyn Chumak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116117––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingValentyn Chumak above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 56.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Chumak 45–56 Volodymyr Hainiuk Valentyn Chumak has won 45 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-56 in 101
Hainiuk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chumak 1464 vs Hainiuk 1364
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chumak 80% vs Hainiuk 20%
Chumak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chumak 80% vs Hainiuk 40%
Chumak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chumak +2 · Hainiuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chumak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChumak 1.73 / Hainiuk 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Chumak)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089308
Chumak1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 60 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 34 of 52
Hainiuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChumak6wins
AwayHainiuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChumak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChumak60%3 of 5
AwayHainiuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chumak5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Chumak8Hainiuk2n = 10Chumak took 8 of 10
S3Chumak6Hainiuk4n = 10Chumak took 6 of 10
S4Chumak3Hainiuk4n = 7Hainiuk took 4 of 7
S5Chumak2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChumakHainiukC − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.7+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChumakHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 560 vs 370 / 68750.2%53.9%281 / 560 vs 370 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakChumak 1.73/Hainiuk 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak—71211772V. Hainiuk—1110511113
LAug 25 · 13:35V. Chumak—117111062V. Hainiuk—211712113
WAug 24 · 13:35V. Chumak—31111113V. Hainiuk—117571
WAug 18 · 13:35V. Chumak—1411113V. Hainiuk—12760
WAug 17 · 13:35V. Chumak—111194123V. Hainiuk—351111102
WAug 10 · 16:55V. Chumak—1111113V. Hainiuk—6960
LAug 3 · 17:35V. Chumak—111141382V. Hainiuk—781115113
LJul 27 · 14:25V. Chumak—712100V. Hainiuk—1114123
WJul 9 · 13:35V. Chumak—91111113V. Hainiuk—119531
WJul 6 · 16:05V. Chumak—511611113V. Hainiuk—11911932
V. Chumak10
WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113WSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113WSep 2 · 14:25V. Chumak1.611111123I. Elfemov2.2036100
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101
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