TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089071
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311511112114––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 55.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 7–5 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Korobov
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1571 vs Kaganovych 1505
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 100% vs Kaganovych 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 80% vs Kaganovych 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +5 · Kaganovych +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.73 / Kaganovych 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Korobov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089071
Korobov1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Kaganovych2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov5wins
AwayKaganovych5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov57.1%4 of 7
AwayKaganovych66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Kaganovych3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov6Kaganovych4n = 10Korobov took 6 of 10
S3Korobov5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S4Korobov1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovKaganovychKorobov − KaganovychBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.5+1.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 137 vs 339 / 54462%62.3%85 / 137 vs 339 / 544Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.73/Kaganovych 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 18:35O. Korobov—1112113V. Kaganovych—61070
WAug 10 · 18:25O. Korobov—1111113V. Kaganovych—5430
LAug 3 · 12:35O. Korobov—117841V. Kaganovych—91111113
LJul 27 · 19:25O. Korobov—81111692V. Kaganovych—117711113
WJul 13 · 17:25O. Korobov—1111123V. Kaganovych—81100
LJun 2 · 15:05O. Korobov—117491V. Kaganovych—51111113
LApr 22 · 13:55O. Korobov—9570V. Kaganovych—1111113
LApr 14 · 19:05O. Korobov—1596101V. Kaganovych—131111123
WApr 7 · 14:05O. Korobov—611118113V. Kaganovych—11991182
WMar 17 · 17:35O. Korobov—111111113V. Kaganovych—981361
O. Korobov10
WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113LAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.