TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089077
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1177118111141311
Valentyn Chumak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 94 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 75.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 8–2 Valentyn Chumak Valentyn Chumak has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Korobov
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1587 vs Chumak 1477
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 100% vs Chumak 80%
Korobov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 90% vs Chumak 70%
Korobov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +5 · Chumak +1
Korobov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Korobov) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chumak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.33 / Chumak 3.25
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Korobov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13089077
Korobov1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Chumak3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 67 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov8wins
AwayChumak2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov100%6 of 6
AwayChumak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov6Chumak4n = 10Korobov took 6 of 10
S2Korobov7Chumak3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S3Korobov9Chumak1n = 10Korobov took 9 of 10
S4Korobov3Chumak3n = 6split evenly
S5Korobov2Chumak1n = 3Korobov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovChumakK − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.132.6+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 139 vs 283 / 56362.6%50.3%87 / 139 vs 283 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.33/Chumak 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov—11911113V. Chumak—411951
LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov—111411952V. Chumak—1312511113
WAug 10 · 15:55O. Korobov—11119113V. Chumak—861121
WAug 3 · 18:35O. Korobov—591213113V. Chumak—1111101182
WJul 27 · 17:55O. Korobov—811117113V. Chumak—11461192
LJun 18 · 12:35O. Korobov—881181V. Chumak—11115113
WJun 10 · 17:35O. Korobov—1111113V. Chumak—9460
WApr 14 · 13:35O. Korobov—1111113V. Chumak—5980
WApr 7 · 17:05O. Korobov—1111123V. Chumak—73100
WMar 31 · 17:35O. Korobov—1112113V. Chumak—81090
O. Korobov10
LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113
V. Chumak10
WSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872WSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192WSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113WSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951
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