TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126794
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191210––––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 61.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 8–6 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Korobov
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1558 vs Kaganovych 1461
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Kaganovych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 80% vs Kaganovych 60%
Korobov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -2 · Kaganovych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.61 / Kaganovych 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Korobov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126794
Korobov1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 52 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Kaganovych2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 21 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov4wins
AwayKaganovych6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov57.1%4 of 7
AwayKaganovych100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Kaganovych3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S3Korobov6Kaganovych4n = 10Korobov took 6 of 10
S4Korobov1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovKaganovychKorobov − KaganovychBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.832.9+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 142 vs 341 / 54962%62.1%88 / 142 vs 341 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.61/Kaganovych 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov4013511113V. Kaganovych281111241
LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov30681151V. Kaganovych4011117113
WAug 17 · 18:35O. Korobov341112113V. Kaganovych2361070
WAug 10 · 18:25O. Korobov331111113V. Kaganovych125430
LAug 3 · 12:35O. Korobov30117841V. Kaganovych4291111113
LJul 27 · 19:25O. Korobov4581111692V. Kaganovych47117711113
WJul 13 · 17:25O. Korobov341111123V. Kaganovych1981100
LJun 2 · 15:05O. Korobov31117491V. Kaganovych3851111113
LApr 22 · 13:55O. Korobov219570V. Kaganovych331111113
LApr 14 · 19:05O. Korobov401596101V. Kaganovych47131111123
O. Korobov10
LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 14 · 13:05I. Elfemov2.2511871192V. Kaganovych1.57711116113LSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123WSep 11 · 17:35Y. Bielokon3.409260V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 11 · 15:33I. Elfemov2.5011611133V. Kaganovych1.508117111WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241
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