TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111435
Played Sep 11Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911211611––––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 76.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 17–50 Vitalii Kaganovych Yevhen Bielokon has won 17 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-50 in 67
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 33 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1200 vs Kaganovych 1464
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Kaganovych 80%
Kaganovych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 20% vs Kaganovych 70%
Kaganovych
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -2 · Kaganovych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bielokon form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 3.40 / Kaganovych 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111435
Bielokon3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Kaganovych1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 129 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 91 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon3wins
AwayKaganovych7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon50%2 of 4
AwayKaganovych83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S2Bielokon3Kaganovych7n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S3Bielokon4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Bielokon1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
S5Bielokon2Kaganovych2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonKaganovychB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.041.4−5.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 555 vs 340 / 54747.4%62.2%263 / 555 vs 340 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychBielokon 3.40/Kaganovych 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—9980V. Kaganovych—1111113
LJul 28 · 16:55Y. Bielokon—9990V. Kaganovych—1111113
WJul 15 · 15:35Y. Bielokon—514117163V. Kaganovych—1112511142
LJul 14 · 16:25Y. Bielokon—115951V. Kaganovych—61111113
LJul 6 · 15:35Y. Bielokon—139111152V. Kaganovych—1111713113
WJun 16 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—11101213113V. Kaganovych—512101592
WJun 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—11124113V. Kaganovych—6101191
LJun 1 · 13:05Y. Bielokon—10850V. Kaganovych—1211113
LMay 27 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—21111552V. Kaganovych—117711113
LMay 25 · 15:35Y. Bielokon—11750V. Kaganovych—1311113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113WSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100WSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 11 · 15:33I. Elfemov2.5011611133V. Kaganovych1.508117111WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781
Upcoming Matches
Y. Bielokon
Nothing scheduled
V. Kaganovych
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