TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094722
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Yevhen Bielokon
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Yevhen Bielokon below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 75.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 50–17 Yevhen Bielokon Yevhen Bielokon has won 17 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-17 in 67
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 33 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1463 vs Bielokon 1221
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 60% vs Bielokon 0%
Kaganovych
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 60% vs Bielokon 20%
Kaganovych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych -2 · Bielokon -5
Bielokon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bielokon form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.33 / Bielokon 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094722
Kaganovych1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 126 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Bielokon3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 45 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych7wins
AwayBielokon3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych80%4 of 5
AwayBielokon40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych5Bielokon5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaganovych7Bielokon3n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S3Kaganovych5Bielokon5n = 10split evenly
S4Kaganovych6Bielokon1n = 7Kaganovych took 6 of 7
S5Kaganovych3Bielokon2n = 5Kaganovych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychBielokonK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.538.2+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychBielokonBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 548 vs 267 / 55862%47.9%340 / 548 vs 267 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.33/Bielokon 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 16:55V. Kaganovych—1111113Y. Bielokon—9990
LJul 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—1112511142Y. Bielokon—514117163
WJul 14 · 16:25V. Kaganovych—61111113Y. Bielokon—115951
WJul 6 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—1111713113Y. Bielokon—139111152
LJun 16 · 15:05V. Kaganovych—512101592Y. Bielokon—11101213113
LJun 8 · 19:05V. Kaganovych—6101191Y. Bielokon—11124113
WJun 1 · 13:05V. Kaganovych—1211113Y. Bielokon—10850
WMay 27 · 13:35V. Kaganovych—117711113Y. Bielokon—21111552
WMay 25 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—1311113Y. Bielokon—11750
WMay 4 · 16:55V. Kaganovych—311612123Y. Bielokon—1161110102
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781LSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111
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