TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094634
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 65.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 66–44 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 44 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-44 in 110
Kaganovych
Wrong
gap of 22 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1484 vs Hainiuk 1332
Kaganovych
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 60% vs Hainiuk 40%
Kaganovych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 70% vs Hainiuk 30%
Kaganovych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych -1 · Hainiuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kaganovych) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.44 / Hainiuk 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kaganovych)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094634
Kaganovych1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 126 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Hainiuk2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 55 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych8wins
AwayHainiuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych100%5 of 5
AwayHainiuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaganovych8Hainiuk2n = 10Kaganovych took 8 of 10
S3Kaganovych6Hainiuk4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Kaganovych7Hainiuk1n = 8Kaganovych took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychHainiukK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.132.8+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 548 vs 363 / 67862.2%53.5%341 / 548 vs 363 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.44/Hainiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 19:35V. Kaganovych—61111113V. Hainiuk—118391
WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych—411411113V. Hainiuk—11411492
WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych—71211113V. Hainiuk—1110781
WAug 25 · 17:35V. Kaganovych—1511113V. Hainiuk—13910
WAug 24 · 14:35V. Kaganovych—11118113V. Hainiuk—641181
LAug 18 · 19:35V. Kaganovych—7114111V. Hainiuk—11511133
WAug 17 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—11126113V. Hainiuk—7101141
WAug 11 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—11811113V. Hainiuk—711581
WAug 10 · 20:25V. Kaganovych—1111113V. Hainiuk—9330
LAug 3 · 14:35V. Kaganovych—881311152V. Hainiuk—1111112173
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781LSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940WSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113
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