TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094689
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119114––––
Ruslan Serhyenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 74.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 89–34 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 34 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-34 in 123
Hainiuk
Correct
gap of 55 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1322 vs Serhyenko 1224
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 20% vs Serhyenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 20% vs Serhyenko 40%
Serhyenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk +1 · Serhyenko -3
Serhyenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 1.30 / Serhyenko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hainiuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094689
Hainiuk1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 102 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Serhyenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 66 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk7wins
AwaySerhyenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySerhyenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk6Serhyenko4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S2Hainiuk5Serhyenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hainiuk6Serhyenko4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S4Hainiuk6Serhyenko1n = 7Hainiuk took 6 of 7
S5Hainiuk3Serhyenko2n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSerhyenkoH − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.0+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 678 vs 261 / 59453.5%43.9%363 / 678 vs 261 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukHainiuk 1.30/Serhyenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—8530
WAug 24 · 19:35V. Hainiuk—1171113113R. Serhyenko—711131132
WAug 13 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—2760
LAug 4 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—45111162R. Serhyenko—111196113
LJul 27 · 15:25V. Hainiuk—43111122R. Serhyenko—111173113
WJul 20 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—811711113R. Serhyenko—11311882
WJul 16 · 15:25V. Hainiuk—117311113R. Serhyenko—81111982
WJul 12 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—7760
LJun 29 · 19:05V. Hainiuk—1113771R. Serhyenko—61511113
WJun 25 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—81113153R. Serhyenko—11711131
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113WSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113LSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183LAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101
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