TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094547
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711117711––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 54.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 42–47 Volodymyr Hainiuk Yevhen Bielokon has won 42 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-47 in 89
Hainiuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1250 vs Hainiuk 1312
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 0% vs Hainiuk 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 20% vs Hainiuk 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -5 · Hainiuk -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hainiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.20 / Hainiuk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hainiuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094547
Bielokon2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 45 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Hainiuk1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 102 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon4wins
AwayHainiuk6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon50%3 of 6
AwayHainiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon6Hainiuk4n = 10Bielokon took 6 of 10
S2Bielokon6Hainiuk4n = 10Bielokon took 6 of 10
S3Bielokon5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Bielokon1Hainiuk8n = 9Hainiuk took 8 of 9
S5Bielokon3Hainiuk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonHainiukB − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.442.3+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 569 vs 362 / 67747.8%53.5%272 / 569 vs 362 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukBielokon 2.20/Hainiuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—11811982V. Hainiuk—811711113
WJul 20 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—814811113V. Hainiuk—111211782
LJul 16 · 14:25Y. Bielokon—117881V. Hainiuk—81111113
LJul 12 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—991191V. Hainiuk—11113113
LJul 6 · 19:35Y. Bielokon—611881V. Hainiuk—11511113
WJun 29 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—117116113V. Hainiuk—81191152
WJun 22 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—111559113V. Hainiuk—913111172
WJun 19 · 17:35Y. Bielokon—1111113V. Hainiuk—8560
LJun 16 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—101111862V. Hainiuk—122811113
LJun 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—111191122V. Hainiuk—991113113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113
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