TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088738
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811311911––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 65.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 44–64 Vitalii Kaganovych Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 44 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-64 in 108
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 20 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1319 vs Kaganovych 1489
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 0% vs Kaganovych 60%
Kaganovych
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 20% vs Kaganovych 70%
Kaganovych
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -5 · Kaganovych +1
Hainiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 2.50 / Kaganovych 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kaganovych)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088738
Hainiuk2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Kaganovych1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 126 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it82% 89 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk3wins
AwayKaganovych7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk75%3 of 4
AwayKaganovych100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S2Hainiuk4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S3Hainiuk4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Hainiuk2Kaganovych6n = 8Kaganovych took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukKaganovychH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.9−5.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 677 vs 340 / 54753.6%62.2%363 / 677 vs 340 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychHainiuk 2.50/Kaganovych 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 17:35V. Hainiuk—1110781V. Kaganovych—71211113
LAug 25 · 17:35V. Hainiuk—13910V. Kaganovych—1511113
LAug 24 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—641181V. Kaganovych—11118113
WAug 18 · 19:35V. Hainiuk—11511133V. Kaganovych—7114111
LAug 17 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—7101141V. Kaganovych—11126113
LAug 11 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—711581V. Kaganovych—11811113
LAug 10 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—9330V. Kaganovych—1111113
WAug 3 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111112173V. Kaganovych—881311152
WJul 31 · 15:25V. Hainiuk—111110133V. Kaganovych—4912111
LJul 28 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—131112562V. Kaganovych—1551011113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781LSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671
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