TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089355
Played Sep 7Finished
Fedir Chashchin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6116111210116119
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Chashchin 8–8 Volodymyr Hainiuk Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hainiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chashchin 1411 vs Hainiuk 1335
Chashchin
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chashchin 40% vs Hainiuk 0%
Chashchin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chashchin 60% vs Hainiuk 20%
Chashchin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chashchin -1 · Hainiuk -5
Hainiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChashchin 2.10 / Hainiuk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hainiuk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089355
Chashchin2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Hainiuk1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 104 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChashchin7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChashchin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChashchin100%6 of 6
AwayHainiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chashchin6Hainiuk4n = 10Chashchin took 6 of 10
S2Chashchin5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Chashchin3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S4Chashchin5Hainiuk2n = 7Chashchin took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChashchinHainiukC − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.3+2.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChashchinHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 189 vs 364 / 67850.8%53.7%96 / 189 vs 364 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukChashchin 2.10/Hainiuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chashchin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 13:35F. Chashchin—4870V. Hainiuk—1111113
WJul 13 · 14:55F. Chashchin—11119113V. Hainiuk—661151
WJul 9 · 17:35F. Chashchin—1111106113V. Hainiuk—91121182
WJun 15 · 16:25F. Chashchin—71114123V. Hainiuk—11512101
LJun 8 · 14:05F. Chashchin—8760V. Hainiuk—1111113
WMay 26 · 17:35F. Chashchin—11119113V. Hainiuk—961161
WMay 22 · 08:55F. Chashchin—12911113V. Hainiuk—1011651
WMay 19 · 15:35F. Chashchin—11117113V. Hainiuk—761191
WMay 5 · 13:35F. Chashchin—116114113V. Hainiuk—71161162
LApr 23 · 17:35F. Chashchin—8680V. Hainiuk—1111103
F. Chashchin10
WSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113LSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192LSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781
Upcoming Matches
F. Chashchin
Nothing scheduled
V. Hainiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.