TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094642
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
31115131210118––
Yevhen Bielokon
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Yevhen Bielokon below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 40–43 Yevhen Bielokon Vitalii Sydorenko has won 40 of their 83 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bielokon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-43 in 83
Bielokon
Wrong
gap of 3 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1289 vs Bielokon 1240
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Bielokon 0%
Sydorenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Bielokon 20%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -2 · Bielokon -5
Bielokon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bielokon form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.83 / Bielokon 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094642
Sydorenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bielokon1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko9wins
AwayBielokon1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayBielokon0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko7Bielokon3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko6Bielokon4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Bielokon4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko6Bielokon3n = 9Sydorenko took 6 of 9
S5Sydorenko4Bielokon1n = 5Sydorenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoBielokonS − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.741.2+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoBielokonBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 587 vs 267 / 55845.1%47.9%265 / 587 vs 267 / 558Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.83/Bielokon 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 17:35V. Sydorenko—14114113Y. Bielokon—1291191
WAug 27 · 17:25V. Sydorenko—11117113Y. Bielokon—861181
LAug 26 · 16:05V. Sydorenko—117115112Y. Bielokon—811611133
WAug 21 · 17:05V. Sydorenko—91112113Y. Bielokon—1171051
WAug 4 · 15:05V. Sydorenko—4101111113Y. Bielokon—11129692
WJul 29 · 19:05V. Sydorenko—128811113Y. Bielokon—101111492
WJul 28 · 19:55V. Sydorenko—111119113Y. Bielokon—71191182
WJul 16 · 15:55V. Sydorenko—101111153Y. Bielokon—1278131
WJul 14 · 15:25V. Sydorenko—1112123Y. Bielokon—810100
WJul 12 · 16:05V. Sydorenko—121174133Y. Bielokon—1071111112
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113
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