TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094525
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711811116911
Ivan Elfemov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Elfemov to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Ivan Elfemov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Elfemov at 61.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 8–12 Ivan Elfemov Vitalii Sydorenko has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Elfemov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Elfemov
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1299 vs Elfemov 1340
Elfemov
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Elfemov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Elfemov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -1 · Elfemov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Elfemov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.38 / Elfemov 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Elfemov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094525
Sydorenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Elfemov1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 117 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it82% 86 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko3wins
AwayElfemov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderElfemov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko50%2 of 4
AwayElfemov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko4Elfemov6n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Elfemov6n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko3Elfemov7n = 10Elfemov took 7 of 10
S4Sydorenko3Elfemov5n = 8Elfemov took 5 of 8
S5Sydorenko2Elfemov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoElfemovS − EBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.8−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoElfemovBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 597 vs 271 / 45545.2%59.6%270 / 597 vs 271 / 455Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovSydorenko 2.38/Elfemov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko—11511113I. Elfemov—811791
WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko—1111911123I. Elfemov—761113102
LAug 26 · 18:05V. Sydorenko—5135101I. Elfemov—111111123
LAug 21 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—1051181I. Elfemov—12118113
LAug 18 · 18:35V. Sydorenko—910111172I. Elfemov—111278113
LAug 11 · 13:05V. Sydorenko—11510101I. Elfemov—71112123
LJul 29 · 14:35V. Sydorenko—6260I. Elfemov—1111113
WJul 21 · 16:05V. Sydorenko—612611123I. Elfemov—1110116102
LJul 16 · 19:25V. Sydorenko—9750I. Elfemov—1111113
LJul 12 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—1112101122I. Elfemov—8101213113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153
I. Elfemov10
WSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791WSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113WSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102
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