TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094699
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511411––––
Ivan Elfemov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Elfemov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Ivan Elfemov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Elfemov at 63.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 9–13 Ivan Elfemov Yevhen Bielokon has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Elfemov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Elfemov
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1230 vs Elfemov 1366
Elfemov
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 0% vs Elfemov 80%
Elfemov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 20% vs Elfemov 60%
Elfemov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -5 · Elfemov +2
Bielokon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Elfemov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.50 / Elfemov 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Elfemov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094699
Bielokon2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 45 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Elfemov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 117 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it82% 86 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon4wins
AwayElfemov6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderElfemov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon75%3 of 4
AwayElfemov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon4Elfemov6n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S2Bielokon4Elfemov6n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S3Bielokon6Elfemov4n = 10Bielokon took 6 of 10
S4Bielokon2Elfemov7n = 9Elfemov took 7 of 9
S5Bielokon2Elfemov1n = 3Bielokon took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonElfemovB − EBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.9−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonElfemovBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 558 vs 273 / 45747.9%59.7%267 / 558 vs 273 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovBielokon 2.50/Elfemov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon—971181I. Elfemov—11117103
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon—11117113I. Elfemov—491111
LAug 26 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—8911101I. Elfemov—11116123
WAug 21 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—81111133I. Elfemov—1199111
LAug 16 · 19:55Y. Bielokon—912981I. Elfemov—111011113
WAug 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—118116113I. Elfemov—91151172
WJul 29 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—1191110113I. Elfemov—51191282
LJul 28 · 17:55Y. Bielokon—7970I. Elfemov—1111113
LJul 22 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—117761I. Elfemov—91111113
LJul 16 · 17:55Y. Bielokon—91112892I. Elfemov—1161011113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111
I. Elfemov10
WSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791WSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113WSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692
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