TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094691
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Ruslan Serhyenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 62.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 59–36 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 36 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bielokon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-36 in 95
Bielokon
Correct
gap of 23 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1215 vs Serhyenko 1196
Bielokon
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 0% vs Serhyenko 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 10% vs Serhyenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -5 · Serhyenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bielokon)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serhyenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.50 / Serhyenko 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Bielokon)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094691
Bielokon1.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 59 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it70% 42 of 60
Serhyenko2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 66 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon6wins
AwaySerhyenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBielokon leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon80%4 of 5
AwaySerhyenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon5Serhyenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Bielokon7Serhyenko3n = 10Bielokon took 7 of 10
S3Bielokon7Serhyenko3n = 10Bielokon took 7 of 10
S4Bielokon5Serhyenko2n = 7Bielokon took 5 of 7
S5Bielokon1Serhyenko3n = 4Serhyenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonSerhyenkoB − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.6+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 559 vs 261 / 59747.8%43.7%267 / 559 vs 261 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonBielokon 1.50/Serhyenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 19:25Y. Bielokon—571111113R. Serhyenko—11117562
WAug 27 · 18:25Y. Bielokon—11116113R. Serhyenko—471181
LAug 21 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—78111162R. Serhyenko—111185113
WAug 16 · 18:55Y. Bielokon—1311113R. Serhyenko—11660
LAug 6 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—111110181R. Serhyenko—13412203
WAug 4 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—1112113R. Serhyenko—51030
WJul 22 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—81111113R. Serhyenko—118281
WJul 20 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—1111113R. Serhyenko—5910
LJul 16 · 19:55Y. Bielokon—76111182R. Serhyenko—111199113
LJul 15 · 17:35Y. Bielokon—111586102R. Serhyenko—8131111123
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113LSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183
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