TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111566
Played Sep 11Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113117311711––
Ruslan Serhyenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 64.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 60–36 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 36 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bielokon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-36 in 96
Bielokon
Wrong
gap of 24 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1246 vs Serhyenko 1177
Bielokon
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Serhyenko 0%
Bielokon
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 20% vs Serhyenko 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon +2 · Serhyenko -5
Serhyenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bielokon)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serhyenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.44 / Serhyenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bielokon)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111566
Bielokon1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 60 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 43 of 61
Serhyenko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon7wins
AwaySerhyenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBielokon leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon100%5 of 5
AwaySerhyenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon5Serhyenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Bielokon7Serhyenko3n = 10Bielokon took 7 of 10
S3Bielokon8Serhyenko2n = 10Bielokon took 8 of 10
S4Bielokon5Serhyenko1n = 6Bielokon took 5 of 6
S5Bielokon1Serhyenko2n = 3Serhyenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonSerhyenkoB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.632.6+7.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 554 vs 259 / 59347.7%43.7%264 / 554 vs 259 / 593Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonBielokon 1.44/Serhyenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Serhyenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—1111113R. Serhyenko—7990
WSep 2 · 19:25Y. Bielokon—571111113R. Serhyenko—11117562
WAug 27 · 18:25Y. Bielokon—11116113R. Serhyenko—471181
LAug 21 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—78111162R. Serhyenko—111185113
WAug 16 · 18:55Y. Bielokon—1311113R. Serhyenko—11660
LAug 6 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—111110181R. Serhyenko—13412203
WAug 4 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—1112113R. Serhyenko—51030
WJul 22 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—81111113R. Serhyenko—118281
WJul 20 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—1111113R. Serhyenko—5910
LJul 16 · 19:55Y. Bielokon—76111182R. Serhyenko—111199113
Y. Bielokon10
WSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100WSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113
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