TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111033
Played Sep 11Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111151210––––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 43–41 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 41 of their 84 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sydorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-41 in 84
Bielokon
Correct
gap of 2 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1229 vs Sydorenko 1302
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 20% vs Sydorenko 40%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 10% vs Sydorenko 50%
Sydorenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon +1 · Sydorenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.83 / Sydorenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111033
Bielokon1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sydorenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon1wins
AwaySydorenko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon0%0 of 4
AwaySydorenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Bielokon4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S3Bielokon3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Bielokon2Sydorenko7n = 9Sydorenko took 7 of 9
S5Bielokon1Sydorenko3n = 4Sydorenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonSydorenkoB − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.443.1−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 560 vs 264 / 58847.9%44.9%268 / 560 vs 264 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoBielokon 1.83/Sydorenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—11131081V. Sydorenko—31512113
LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon—1291191V. Sydorenko—14114113
LAug 27 · 17:25Y. Bielokon—861181V. Sydorenko—11117113
WAug 26 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—811611133V. Sydorenko—117115112
LAug 21 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—1171051V. Sydorenko—91112113
LAug 4 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—11129692V. Sydorenko—4101111113
LJul 29 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—101111492V. Sydorenko—128811113
LJul 28 · 19:55Y. Bielokon—71191182V. Sydorenko—111119113
LJul 16 · 15:55Y. Bielokon—1278131V. Sydorenko—101111153
LJul 14 · 15:25Y. Bielokon—810100V. Sydorenko—1112123
Y. Bielokon10
WSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681
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