TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094719
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4116111171210811
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 61.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 42–75 Volodymyr Hainiuk Vitalii Sydorenko has won 42 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-75 in 117
Hainiuk
Correct
gap of 33 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1310 vs Hainiuk 1352
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Hainiuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Hainiuk 30%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +2 · Hainiuk +3
Hainiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.38 / Hainiuk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hainiuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094719
Sydorenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Hainiuk1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 102 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayHainiuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko50%2 of 4
AwayHainiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko4Hainiuk6n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Hainiuk4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko6Hainiuk3n = 9Sydorenko took 6 of 9
S5Sydorenko1Hainiuk3n = 4Hainiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoHainiukS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.6−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 588 vs 364 / 67945.2%53.6%266 / 588 vs 364 / 679Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukSydorenko 2.38/Hainiuk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko—1141381V. Hainiuk—41115113
WAug 18 · 15:35V. Sydorenko—181111113V. Hainiuk—11114822
LAug 17 · 14:35V. Sydorenko—761281V. Hainiuk—111110113
WAug 11 · 17:35V. Sydorenko—11811133V. Hainiuk—6118111
LAug 4 · 17:35V. Sydorenko—79120V. Hainiuk—1111143
LAug 3 · 13:35V. Sydorenko—89111152V. Hainiuk—111189113
LJul 28 · 15:25V. Sydorenko—111144102V. Hainiuk—991111123
LJul 21 · 13:35V. Sydorenko—81161152V. Hainiuk—119115113
WJul 16 · 18:25V. Sydorenko—131111113V. Hainiuk—156861
WJul 12 · 19:35V. Sydorenko—11412113V. Hainiuk—4111051
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940WSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492
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