TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094685
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14121161113811115
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 102 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 73.2%
102 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 61–21 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 21 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-21 in 82
Kaganovych
Correct
gap of 40 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1469 vs Sydorenko 1301
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 60% vs Sydorenko 40%
Kaganovych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 60% vs Sydorenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Sydorenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.36 / Sydorenko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094685
Kaganovych1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 126 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Sydorenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych8wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych100%7 of 7
AwaySydorenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych7Sydorenko3n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S2Kaganovych5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kaganovych3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Kaganovych6Sydorenko3n = 9Kaganovych took 6 of 9
S5Kaganovych5Sydorenko1n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychSydorenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.241.3+3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 548 vs 265 / 58862.2%45.1%341 / 548 vs 265 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.36/Sydorenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:25V. Kaganovych—11712113V. Sydorenko—5111061
LAug 18 · 14:05V. Kaganovych—57110V. Sydorenko—1111133
WAug 17 · 12:35V. Kaganovych—1110411113V. Sydorenko—81211382
WAug 11 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—131199113V. Sydorenko—119111162
WAug 3 · 19:05V. Kaganovych—91111113V. Sydorenko—116391
LJul 28 · 18:55V. Kaganovych—111181192V. Sydorenko—137119113
WJul 14 · 13:25V. Kaganovych—111699113V. Sydorenko—714111182
WJun 16 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—11911113V. Sydorenko—811761
WJun 2 · 17:05V. Kaganovych—118611113V. Sydorenko—71111692
WMay 27 · 15:35V. Kaganovych—1111144113V. Sydorenko—88161162
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781LSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.