TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13115791
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivan Elfemov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111171311––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 4–9 Vitalii Kaganovych Ivan Elfemov has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 2.50 / Kaganovych 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Kaganovych)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13115791
Elfemov2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Kaganovych1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 129 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 91 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeElfemov3wins
AwayKaganovych7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeElfemov75%3 of 4
AwayKaganovych100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Elfemov4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S2Elfemov3Kaganovych7n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S3Elfemov5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S4Elfemov3Kaganovych5n = 8Kaganovych took 5 of 8
S5Elfemov1Kaganovych2n = 3Kaganovych took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricElfemovKaganovychE − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.341.0−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 465 vs 340 / 54660.2%62.3%280 / 465 vs 340 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychElfemov 2.50/Kaganovych 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 14:05I. Elfemov—11811113V. Kaganovych—611851
LSep 1 · 13:55I. Elfemov—108110V. Kaganovych—1211133
LAug 25 · 13:05I. Elfemov—11611642V. Kaganovych—511911113
LAug 18 · 13:05I. Elfemov—10119121V. Kaganovych—12811143
WAug 11 · 14:05I. Elfemov—11113113V. Kaganovych—981191
LJul 28 · 14:55I. Elfemov—512119102V. Kaganovych—1110711123
LJul 15 · 17:05I. Elfemov—1081361V. Kaganovych—121111113
WJul 13 · 19:55I. Elfemov—1111711113V. Kaganovych—81311562
LJun 23 · 12:35I. Elfemov—6711101V. Kaganovych—11117123
LJun 15 · 19:55I. Elfemov—91180V. Kaganovych—1113113
I. Elfemov10
WSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892WSep 10 · 17:55I. Elfemov3.0031112113V. Chumak1.361181021WSep 10 · 16:25I. Elfemov2.001121113113D. Boltenkov1.7391181552WSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101WSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182WSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113WSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781LSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070
Upcoming Matches
I. Elfemov
Nothing scheduled
V. Kaganovych
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