TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105633
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Elfemov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191144111210––
Artem Azarov
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Elfemov to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 72 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ivan Elfemov at 63.6%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 3–1 Artem Azarov Artem Azarov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Elfemov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Elfemov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Elfemov 1381 vs Azarov 1254
Elfemov
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Elfemov 80% vs Azarov 40%
Elfemov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Elfemov 70% vs Azarov 30%
Elfemov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Elfemov +1 · Azarov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Elfemov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 1.53 / Azarov 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Elfemov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105633
Elfemov1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 120 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 107
Azarov2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeElfemov3wins
AwayAzarov1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderElfemov leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeElfemov66.7%2 of 3
AwayAzarovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Elfemov3Azarov1n = 4Elfemov took 3 of 4
S2Elfemov1Azarov3n = 4Azarov took 3 of 4
S3Elfemov3Azarov1n = 4Elfemov took 3 of 4
S4Elfemov1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricElfemovAzarovE − ABasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.241.8+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 461 vs 9 / 2559.9%36%276 / 461 vs 9 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovElfemov 1.53/Azarov 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 3 · 12:35I. Elfemov—1311113A. Azarov—11680
WSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov—1241111113A. Azarov—14118972
WAug 26 · 16:35I. Elfemov—113118113A. Azarov—71191182
LAug 16 · 15:55I. Elfemov—11117121A. Azarov—91311143
I. Elfemov10
WSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182WSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113WSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791
A. Azarov10
LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113
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