TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111244
Played Sep 11Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
131513118111012––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 93 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 70.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 62–21 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 21 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-21 in 83
Kaganovych
Wrong
gap of 41 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1470 vs Sydorenko 1281
Kaganovych
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 80% vs Sydorenko 20%
Kaganovych
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 70% vs Sydorenko 40%
Kaganovych
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Sydorenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.40 / Sydorenko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111244
Kaganovych1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 129 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 91 of 111
Sydorenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych8wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych100%7 of 7
AwaySydorenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych7Sydorenko3n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S2Kaganovych5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kaganovych3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Kaganovych6Sydorenko3n = 9Kaganovych took 6 of 9
S5Kaganovych5Sydorenko1n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychSydorenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.641.1+4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 548 vs 260 / 58262.2%44.7%341 / 548 vs 260 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.40/Sydorenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—1411118113V. Sydorenko—126131152
WSep 1 · 19:25V. Kaganovych—11712113V. Sydorenko—5111061
LAug 18 · 14:05V. Kaganovych—57110V. Sydorenko—1111133
WAug 17 · 12:35V. Kaganovych—1110411113V. Sydorenko—81211382
WAug 11 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—131199113V. Sydorenko—119111162
WAug 3 · 19:05V. Kaganovych—91111113V. Sydorenko—116391
LJul 28 · 18:55V. Kaganovych—111181192V. Sydorenko—137119113
WJul 14 · 13:25V. Kaganovych—111699113V. Sydorenko—714111182
WJun 16 · 18:35V. Kaganovych—11911113V. Sydorenko—811761
WJun 2 · 17:05V. Kaganovych—118611113V. Sydorenko—71111692
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 11 · 17:35Y. Bielokon3.409260V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 11 · 15:33I. Elfemov2.5011611133V. Kaganovych1.508117111WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980LSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113LSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113WSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110WSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113
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