TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111615
Played Sep 11Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811118311––
Artem Azarov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 1–2 Artem Azarov Vitalii Sydorenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Azarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1294 vs Azarov 1261
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Azarov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Azarov 30%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Azarov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.83 / Azarov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111615
Sydorenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Azarov1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSydorenko1wins
AwayAzarov2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderAzarov leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko2Azarov1n = 3Sydorenko took 2 of 3
S2Sydorenko1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S3Sydorenko0Azarov3n = 3Azarov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSydorenkoAzarovS − ABasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.041.7−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 583 vs 11 / 3144.8%35.5%261 / 583 vs 11 / 31Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.83/Azarov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 15:35V. Sydorenko—1110711113A. Azarov—51211842
LAug 27 · 13:25V. Sydorenko—12114972A. Azarov—1091111113
LAug 26 · 13:05V. Sydorenko—8880A. Azarov—1111113
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113
A. Azarov10
WSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113LSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113
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