TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106742
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Boltenkov
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115611114711
Artem Azarov
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 81.1% is still 81.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
81.1%
81.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Boltenkov above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 81.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Denys Boltenkov 3–1 Artem Azarov Artem Azarov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Boltenkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Boltenkov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boltenkov 1416 vs Azarov 1219
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltenkov 40% vs Azarov 20%
Boltenkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltenkov 50% vs Azarov 20%
Boltenkov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltenkov -3 · Azarov -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltenkov 1.20 / Azarov 4.33
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13106742
Boltenkov1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 14 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Azarov4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBoltenkov3wins
AwayAzarov1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoltenkov75%3 of 4
AwayAzarovn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boltenkov4Azarov0n = 4Boltenkov took 4 of 4
S2Boltenkov4Azarov0n = 4Boltenkov took 4 of 4
S3Boltenkov2Azarov2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBoltenkovAzarovB − ABasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match36.529.0+7.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltenkovAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 29 vs 9 / 2858.6%32.1%17 / 29 vs 9 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBoltenkov 1.20/Azarov 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.1%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 14:05D. Boltenkov—11118642A. Azarov—941111113
WSep 2 · 18:55D. Boltenkov—1111113A. Azarov—8560
WAug 27 · 14:55D. Boltenkov—1111113A. Azarov—5820
WAug 26 · 18:35D. Boltenkov—11117113A. Azarov—991171
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 10 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.6731115113D. Boltenkov2.101121361LSep 10 · 16:25I. Elfemov2.001121113113D. Boltenkov1.7391181552LSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113WSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113
A. Azarov10
LSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972
Upcoming Matches
D. Boltenkov
Nothing scheduled
A. Azarov
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