TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106138
Played Sep 10Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111121513116––
Denys Boltenkov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 56.2%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1396 vs Boltenkov 1434
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 40% vs Boltenkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 60% vs Boltenkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -1 · Boltenkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.67 / Boltenkov 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sharpai)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13106138
Sharpai1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Boltenkov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 548 vs 17 / 2846.9%60.7%257 / 548 vs 17 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.67/Boltenkov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sharpai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Sharpai10
LSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781WSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 10 · 16:25I. Elfemov2.001121113113D. Boltenkov1.7391181552LSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113WSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113
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