TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105663
Played Sep 10Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119118311811
Andrii Lifanov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 4–1 Andrii Lifanov Andrii Lifanov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Sharpai
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1405 vs Lifanov 1468
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 60% vs Lifanov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 60% vs Lifanov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai +2 · Lifanov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.67 / Lifanov 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sharpai)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105663
Sharpai1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Lifanov2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back30% 9 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSharpai4wins
AwayLifanov1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSharpai leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai80%4 of 5
AwayLifanovn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai5Lifanov0n = 5Sharpai took 5 of 5
S2Sharpai3Lifanov2n = 5Sharpai took 3 of 5
S3Sharpai2Lifanov3n = 5Lifanov took 3 of 5
S4Sharpai2Lifanov1n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSharpaiLifanovS − LBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match39.434.8+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 547 vs 207 / 37147%55.8%257 / 547 vs 207 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.67/Lifanov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 19:55V. Sharpai—117913113A. Lifanov—911111182
LJul 31 · 15:55V. Sharpai—1171181A. Lifanov—31113113
WJul 29 · 18:35V. Sharpai—11114133A. Lifanov—9411111
WJul 20 · 16:35V. Sharpai—1412113A. Lifanov—121070
WJul 14 · 15:55V. Sharpai—1111113A. Lifanov—6790
V. Sharpai10
WSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781WSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561
A. Lifanov10
WSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113LSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113
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