TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105816
Played Sep 10Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911114511117119
Valentyn Chumak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 3–3 Valentyn Chumak Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1392 vs Chumak 1466
Chumak
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 60% vs Chumak 40%
Sharpai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 60% vs Chumak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai +1 · Chumak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.73 / Chumak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sharpai)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105816
Sharpai1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Chumak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 69 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSharpai3wins
AwayChumak3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai75%3 of 4
AwayChumakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai4Chumak2n = 6Sharpai took 4 of 6
S2Sharpai3Chumak3n = 6split evenly
S3Sharpai4Chumak2n = 6Sharpai took 4 of 6
S4Sharpai2Chumak3n = 5Chumak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSharpaiChumakS − CBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 546 vs 283 / 56046.9%50.5%256 / 546 vs 283 / 560Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.73/Chumak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 19:05V. Sharpai—61111872V. Chumak—118911113
LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai—117481V. Chumak—91111113
LAug 24 · 15:05V. Sharpai—481261V. Chumak—111110113
WFeb 19 · 17:05V. Sharpai—12128113V. Chumak—10101171
WFeb 12 · 14:35V. Sharpai—1111113V. Chumak—9870
WFeb 4 · 18:05V. Sharpai—111011113V. Chumak—912771
V. Sharpai10
LSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781WSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123LSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561
V. Chumak10
LSep 10 · 17:55I. Elfemov3.0031112113V. Chumak1.361181021WSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192WSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113
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