TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105670
Played Sep 10Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511911––––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 69.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–2 Andrii Lifanov Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1233 vs Lifanov 1477
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 20% vs Lifanov 60%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 20% vs Lifanov 70%
Lifanov
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -3 · Lifanov +2
Azarov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Lifanov) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 3.25 / Lifanov 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Lifanov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105670
Azarov3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Lifanov1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 126 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 99 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayLifanov2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLifanov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAzarovLifanovA − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.043.5−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 27 vs 208 / 37233.3%55.9%9 / 27 vs 208 / 372Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovAzarov 3.25/Lifanov 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov—9111191A. Lifanov—11713113
LAug 16 · 18:25A. Azarov—11561152A. Lifanov—611116113
A. Azarov10
LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113
A. Lifanov10
WSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113LSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113
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