TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111527
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Serhyenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711112511911––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 67 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 60–54 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 54 of their 114 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-54 in 114
Serhyenko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1205 vs Sydorenko 1285
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 20% vs Sydorenko 40%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 20% vs Sydorenko 50%
Sydorenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko +1 · Sydorenko -3
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 1.91 / Sydorenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sydorenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111527
Serhyenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Sydorenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 29 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerhyenko4wins
AwaySydorenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerhyenko75%3 of 4
AwaySydorenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serhyenko4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Serhyenko5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Serhyenko3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Serhyenko3Sydorenko2n = 5Serhyenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoSydorenkoSerhyenko − SydorenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.135.1−1.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 593 vs 260 / 58443.8%44.5%260 / 593 vs 260 / 584Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSerhyenko 1.91/Sydorenko 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 16:35R. Serhyenko—14690V. Sydorenko—1611113
LAug 27 · 15:25R. Serhyenko—811100V. Sydorenko—1113123
LAug 21 · 18:35R. Serhyenko—81080V. Sydorenko—1112113
WAug 4 · 16:35R. Serhyenko—11116113V. Sydorenko—791171
LJul 16 · 17:25R. Serhyenko—9640V. Sydorenko—1111113
LJul 14 · 18:55R. Serhyenko—511991V. Sydorenko—11711113
WJul 12 · 18:05R. Serhyenko—13129113V. Sydorenko—11101181
LJul 8 · 18:35R. Serhyenko—111211692V. Sydorenko—414411113
WJul 7 · 13:25R. Serhyenko—41112113V. Sydorenko—1191091
WJul 1 · 18:35R. Serhyenko—1111113V. Sydorenko—8230
R. Serhyenko10
WSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113LSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791
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