TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126458
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119115511111711
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 74.1% is still 74.1%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
74.1%
74.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 82 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 74.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 11–9 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Korobov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1569 vs Hainiuk 1400
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Hainiuk 100%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 80% vs Hainiuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +1 · Hainiuk +5
Hainiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.33 / Hainiuk 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Korobov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126458
Korobov1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite71% won 52 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Hainiuk3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov8wins
AwayHainiuk2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov100%7 of 7
AwayHainiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Hainiuk3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S4Korobov2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovHainiukK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.630.8+5.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 143 vs 365 / 67062.2%54.5%89 / 143 vs 365 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.33/Hainiuk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.1%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov331111113V. Hainiuk217950
WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov341111123V. Hainiuk2082100
WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk29101180
LAug 10 · 13:55O. Korobov368711101V. Hainiuk4211118123
WAug 3 · 15:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk26101150
WJul 27 · 16:25O. Korobov4071111113V. Hainiuk34116981
WJul 21 · 15:35O. Korobov4211119113V. Hainiuk31971141
WJul 13 · 13:55O. Korobov341112113V. Hainiuk2571080
LJun 2 · 17:35O. Korobov26841131V. Hainiuk3511112113
WMay 26 · 15:35O. Korobov49111269113V. Hainiuk45410111192
O. Korobov10
WSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950WSep 7 · 14:05O. Korobov1.7313511113V. Kaganovych2.001111241WSep 7 · 12:35O. Korobov1.5311511113V. Sharpai2.38611661WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940WSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100
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