TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126792
Played Sep 14Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112118114––––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 62.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 77–42 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 42 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-42 in 119
Hainiuk
Correct
gap of 35 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1400 vs Sydorenko 1306
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 100% vs Sydorenko 60%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 60% vs Sydorenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk +5 · Sydorenko +2
Hainiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hainiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 1.53 / Sydorenko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hainiuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126792
Hainiuk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 101 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 69 of 88
Sydorenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 84 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk8wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk85.7%6 of 7
AwaySydorenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk7Sydorenko3n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S2Hainiuk8Sydorenko2n = 10Hainiuk took 8 of 10
S3Hainiuk5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hainiuk3Sydorenko5n = 8Sydorenko took 5 of 8
S5Hainiuk4Sydorenko1n = 5Hainiuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSydorenkoH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.436.2+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 670 vs 260 / 58254.5%44.7%365 / 670 vs 260 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukHainiuk 1.53/Sydorenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk331111113V. Sydorenko142840
WSep 8 · 17:35V. Hainiuk501111710113V. Sydorenko4146111282
WSep 1 · 16:25V. Hainiuk4141115113V. Sydorenko361141381
LAug 18 · 15:35V. Hainiuk3611114822V. Sydorenko42181111113
WAug 17 · 14:35V. Hainiuk43111110113V. Sydorenko33761281
LAug 11 · 17:35V. Hainiuk366118111V. Sydorenko4311811133
WAug 4 · 17:35V. Hainiuk361111143V. Sydorenko2879120
WAug 3 · 13:35V. Hainiuk50111189113V. Sydorenko4489111152
WJul 28 · 15:25V. Hainiuk52991111123V. Sydorenko40111144102
WJul 21 · 13:35V. Hainiuk47119115113V. Sydorenko4181161152
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940WSep 8 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.20571171V. Hainiuk1.6111117113LSep 7 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.50118391V. Kaganovych1.5061111113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov1.361111113V. Hainiuk3.007950LSep 7 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.20310100V. Sharpai1.611112123
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133WSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100LSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152LSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690WSep 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko1.8331512113Y. Bielokon1.8311131081LSep 8 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.3812781192I. Elfemov1.531011116113
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