TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126573
Played Sep 14Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210116––––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 54.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 11–7 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1373 vs Kaganovych 1450
Kaganovych
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Kaganovych 40%
Kaganovych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 40% vs Kaganovych 60%
Kaganovych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -3 · Kaganovych -1
Sharpai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kaganovych) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 2.00 / Kaganovych 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kaganovych)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126573
Sharpai2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 4 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Kaganovych1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 122 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 86 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSharpai4wins
AwayKaganovych6wins
Kaganovych leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai60%3 of 5
AwayKaganovych80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S2Sharpai5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S3Sharpai4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Sharpai1Kaganovych3n = 4Kaganovych took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSharpaiKaganovychS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.232.0−0.8per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 542 vs 341 / 54946.5%62.1%252 / 542 vs 341 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychSharpai 2.00/Kaganovych 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.1%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 18:05V. Sharpai30411781V. Kaganovych4111811113
LSep 1 · 17:25V. Sharpai27115561V. Kaganovych3741111113
WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai3851111113V. Kaganovych33119671
LAug 24 · 16:35V. Sharpai4111712111V. Kaganovych4571114133
LJul 31 · 17:25V. Sharpai2697100V. Kaganovych341111123
LJul 15 · 14:05V. Sharpai239590V. Kaganovych331111113
WJul 14 · 17:55V. Sharpai331111113V. Kaganovych138230
WJul 13 · 15:25V. Sharpai341112113V. Kaganovych2681080
WMar 3 · 16:25V. Sharpai331111113V. Kaganovych218850
LFeb 19 · 14:05V. Sharpai2781360V. Kaganovych371115113
V. Sharpai10
LSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov2.106111013113V. Sharpai1.67119121192LSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113LSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892WSep 10 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.6731115113D. Boltenkov2.101121361LSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792WSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141LSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781WSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100WSep 14 · 13:05I. Elfemov2.2511871192V. Kaganovych1.57711116113LSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123WSep 11 · 17:35Y. Bielokon3.409260V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 11 · 15:33I. Elfemov2.5011611133V. Kaganovych1.508117111WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.361411118113V. Sydorenko3.00126131152WSep 8 · 17:05V. Kaganovych1.331111113Y. Bielokon3.259980WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.8311811113V. Sharpai1.83411781
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