TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142756
Played Sep 17Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911511911––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeArtem Azarov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Artem Azarov at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 3–1 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Azarov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Azarov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1277 vs Sydorenko 1272
Azarov
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 60% vs Sydorenko 0%
Azarov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 40% vs Sydorenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -1 · Sydorenko -5
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Azarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 1.61 / Sydorenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Azarov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142756
Azarov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sydorenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 83 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeAzarov3wins
AwaySydorenko1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderAzarov leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Azarov2Sydorenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Azarov3Sydorenko1n = 4Azarov took 3 of 4
S3Azarov3Sydorenko1n = 4Azarov took 3 of 4
S4Azarov2Sydorenko1n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricAzarovSydorenkoA − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.536.2+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 34 vs 257 / 57838.2%44.5%13 / 34 vs 257 / 578Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AzarovAzarov 1.61/Sydorenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Azarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 11 · 18:05A. Azarov4111118113V. Sydorenko28681131
LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov4051211842V. Sydorenko501110711113
WAug 27 · 13:25A. Azarov521091111113V. Sydorenko4312114972
WAug 26 · 13:05A. Azarov331111113V. Sydorenko248880
A. Azarov10
LSep 17 · 12:35A. Azarov3.0013590D. Boltenkov1.361511113WSep 11 · 19:05R. Serhyenko2.201241031A. Azarov1.61101112113WSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113LSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 17 · 13:05V. Leonov1.73111111113V. Sydorenko2.00134661LSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110LSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:35I. Elfemov1.5011511113V. Sydorenko2.50711691LSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133WSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100
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