TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111249
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Serhyenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12104111012311––
Artem Azarov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeArtem Azarov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Artem Azarov at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–2 Artem Azarov Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Azarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1186 vs Azarov 1278
Azarov
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 20% vs Azarov 60%
Azarov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 10% vs Azarov 40%
Azarov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -2 · Azarov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Azarov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serhyenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.20 / Azarov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Azarov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111249
Serhyenko2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Azarov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwayAzarov2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderAzarov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovS − ABasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.041.5−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 594 vs 12 / 3243.8%37.5%260 / 594 vs 12 / 32Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AzarovSerhyenko 2.20/Azarov 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Azarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko—10790A. Azarov—1211113
LAug 27 · 16:25R. Serhyenko—1011111172A. Azarov—124913113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 11 · 17:06I. Elfemov1.4481612113R. Serhyenko2.6311141091LSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113WSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113LSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113
A. Azarov10
WSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113LSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101LSep 10 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.5014118113A. Azarov2.501261141WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113
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